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Old 07-10-2014, 03:18 PM   #1
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Not to jinx (RIP Extrapolation Thread)

Hey guys,

Not to Jinx whatever's going on this summer but has anyone noticed and possibly believe in a slight correlation of temperatures (heat) of summer and number of motorcyclist deaths?

With all the global warming going on this has to be one of the mildest summers we've had in the past 3-5 years. Has it broke 100 yet? Has it broke 95 yet? I havent really been paying attention but its no where near as hot as 3 years ago (when it didnt rain and summer started from mid Feb. and riding season ended thru Dec.)

Im not sure specifically if thats a correlation or not but i've also not seen as many RIP threads this year, the last two years in particular they TOOK OFF right around May and didnt stop until like late August...

Does it just happen to be a safe and less hot riding summer, or do you happen to think that there is a connection?
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Old 07-10-2014, 05:46 PM   #2
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Maybe fewer people are riding because of all the rain
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Old 07-11-2014, 06:03 AM   #3
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Spurious correlation at best.
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Old 07-11-2014, 07:14 AM   #4
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Not to hijack the threat, but... I remember when carbon emissions was to blame for global cooling in the 80's to early90's. It was said that the carbon emissions in the upper atmosphere was reflecting the suns radiation back out into space and they proposed we were headed into a possible ice age. haha!!!

As a physical scientist I fully understand that people can get funding for ridiculous research and create models that statistically fit their data! If the model doesn't work.. they create a new model that shows what they want. Never mind the whole fiasco if statistical analysis in the first place.

Regardless of the politics of "Global Warming"... I am sure that cooler temps would obviously promote higher motorcycle ride rates, thus causing a statistical increase in the probability of motorcycle accident rates.
I can explain it to you, but I can't undestand it for you.
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